Inflation to stay elevated until mid-2027 before easing

Inflation in Botswana is expected to remain high over the coming six months before easing significantly by the second quarter of 2027, according to updated forecasts from the Bank of Botswana. The central bank’s August 2026 Monetary Policy report projects that inflation will stay above the upper limit of its 3 to 6 percent target range through the final quarter of 2026 and the first quarter of 2027. It is then anticipated to return to...

Botswana consumer spending set to decline by P1.3 Billion in 2026

New data from Business Monitor International (BMI), a global research firm, forecasts a notable contraction in consumer spending in Botswana this year. The report projects a reduction of P1.3 billion in household expenditures for 2026, driven by mounting economic challenges that are expected to erode purchasing power across the country. According to the updated August projections, total household spending in Botswana is anticipated to fall by 1.0 percent, from P132.5 billion in 2025 to P131.2...

Firms optimistic about business outlook through mid-2027

Businesses in Botswana are expressing cautious optimism about the trading environment through June 2027, buoyed by government initiatives aimed at economic recovery and business transformation, according to a recent survey from the Bank of Botswana. While the operating landscape remains challenging, companies anticipate more favorable conditions from the fourth quarter of 2026 into the first half of 2027. The quarterly Business Expectations Survey (BES) gathered insights from local businesses about current economic realities and future...

Household lending drops P2 Billion as borrowing costs stay high

Botswana’s commercial banks recorded a P2 billion decline in household lending in May 2026, reflecting the ongoing pressure of elevated borrowing costs. According to the latest Botswana Economic and Financial Statistics report from Bank Botswana, total annual bank lending fell by 0.2 percent in May, a sharp contrast to the 2.5 percent growth seen in January. The household sector was the primary driver of this downturn. Lending to households dropped 3.6 percent to P55 billion...

Botswana’s mining FDI hit P47.8B in 2024

Foreign direct investment (FDI) in Botswana’s mining sector surged to P47.8 billion in 2024, marking a P15 billion increase from the previous year, according to an update from the Bank of Botswana. The mining sector dominated FDI inflows, accounting for 48.8 percent of the country’s total investment, up from 37.5 percent in 2023, highlighting its growing appeal to investors. The wholesale and retail trade sector ranked as the second-largest recipient, drawing P25.8 billion in FDI....

Botswana’s export earnings drop by P5.4 Billion in early 2026

Botswana is facing challenges in sustaining its export recovery, with new data revealing a P5.4 billion decline in export earnings during the first five months of 2026. According to figures released last week by Statistics Botswana, the government’s official statistics agency, export revenues totaled P25.6 billion between January and May 2026. This marks a 17.3 percent decrease, P5.4 billion less, compared to the P31 billion recorded during the same period in 2025. Diamonds accounted for...

Fixed investment weakness threatens Botswana’s economic recovery in 2026

Botswana’s investment in fixed assets, including infrastructure, transport equipment, and plant machinery, fell sharply in the first quarter of 2026, raising concerns about the pace of the country’s economic rebound. According to the latest figures from Statistics Botswana, fixed asset investment dropped by P1.2 billion, from P11.6 billion in the first quarter of 2025 to P10.4 billion in the same period this year. A closer look at the data reveals that spending on plant machinery...